Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction
NBA · Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · FedExForum · NBA League Pass
Result
Final: Utah Jazz 103, Memphis Grizzlies 123 (Memphis Grizzlies won). Mel’s pick (Memphis Grizzlies win 53% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.
Mel’s pick
Memphis Grizzlies win 53% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.
- Utah Jazz: 47%
- Memphis Grizzlies: 53%
Projected score
Utah Jazz 119, Memphis Grizzlies 120. 6% of the simulations finished as one-score games.
Mel vs the betting line
Vegas has Memphis Grizzlies −2.5. Mel projects Memphis Grizzlies by 0.7, so the simulation leans Utah Jazz +2.5 against the spread.
The total is 241.5; Mel projects 238.6 points, a lean to the under.
Recent form
Utah Jazz (0-0) scored 113.3 and allowed 109.8 points a game over their last 4.
Memphis Grizzlies (0-0) scored 117.5 and allowed 110.8 points a game over their last 4.
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 21, 9:21 AM ET.
See the full simulation
Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.