Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers prediction

Result

Final: Dallas Mavericks 121, Indiana Pacers 105 (Dallas Mavericks won). Mel’s pick (Indiana Pacers win 66% of the time) was wrong. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Indiana Pacers win 66% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Dallas Mavericks: 34%
• Indiana Pacers: 66%

Projected score

Dallas Mavericks 107, Indiana Pacers 122. 4% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Indiana Pacers −6.5. Mel projects Indiana Pacers by 15.4, so the simulation leans Indiana Pacers -6.5 against the spread.

The total is 238.5; Mel projects 229.3 points, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Dallas Mavericks (0-1) scored 113.4 and allowed 122.8 points a game over their last 5.

Indiana Pacers (1-0) scored 120.4 and allowed 118.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 23, 9:11 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.