Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat prediction

Result

Final: Detroit Pistons 128, Miami Heat 111 (Detroit Pistons won). Mel’s pick (Detroit Pistons win 55% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Detroit Pistons win 55% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Detroit Pistons: 55%
• Miami Heat: 45%

Projected score

Detroit Pistons 111, Miami Heat 117. 6% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Detroit Pistons −1.5. Mel projects Miami Heat by 6.4, so the simulation leans Miami Heat +1.5 against the spread.

The total is 235.5; Mel projects 227.7 points, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Detroit Pistons (1-0) scored 119 and allowed 113 points a game over their last 5.

Miami Heat (0-1) scored 123.4 and allowed 127.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 23, 9:11 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.