Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs prediction

Result

Final: Houston Rockets 114, San Antonio Spurs 110 (Houston Rockets won). Mel’s pick (San Antonio Spurs win 66% of the time) was wrong. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

San Antonio Spurs win 66% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Houston Rockets: 34%
• San Antonio Spurs: 66%

Projected score

Houston Rockets 103, San Antonio Spurs 116. 5% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has San Antonio Spurs −5.5. Mel projects San Antonio Spurs by 13, so the simulation leans San Antonio Spurs -5.5 against the spread.

The total is 226.5; Mel projects 218.6 points, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Houston Rockets (1-0) scored 123.5 and allowed 112 points a game over their last 4.

San Antonio Spurs (0-1) scored 112 and allowed 107.4 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 23, 9:11 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.