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Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors prediction

NBA · Friday, October 23, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · Chase Center · NBA League Pass

Result

Final: Memphis Grizzlies 111, Golden State Warriors 108 (Memphis Grizzlies won). Mel’s pick (Memphis Grizzlies win 53% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Memphis Grizzlies win 53% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Memphis Grizzlies 106, Golden State Warriors 117. 5% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Golden State Warriors −3.5. Mel projects Golden State Warriors by 11.7, so the simulation leans Golden State Warriors -3.5 against the spread.

The total is 234.5; Mel projects 222.9 points, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Memphis Grizzlies (1-0) scored 118.6 and allowed 109.2 points a game over their last 5.

Golden State Warriors (0-1) scored 112.6 and allowed 112.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 23, 9:11 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

Open in Mel’s Playbook Try the free demo game

Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.