Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards prediction
NBA · Friday, October 23, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Capital One Arena · MNMT
Result
Final: Toronto Raptors 112, Washington Wizards 102 (Toronto Raptors won). Mel’s pick (Toronto Raptors win 64% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.
Mel’s pick
Toronto Raptors win 64% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.
- Toronto Raptors: 64%
- Washington Wizards: 36%
Projected score
Toronto Raptors 114, Washington Wizards 114. 7% of the simulations finished as one-score games.
Mel vs the betting line
Vegas has Toronto Raptors −8.5. Mel projects Toronto Raptors by 0.3, so the simulation leans Washington Wizards +8.5 against the spread.
The total is 236.5; Mel projects 227.5 points, a lean to the under.
Recent form
Toronto Raptors (1-0) scored 128.4 and allowed 109.4 points a game over their last 5.
Washington Wizards (1-0) scored 116.2 and allowed 114.2 points a game over their last 5.
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 23, 9:11 AM ET.
See the full simulation
Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.