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Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns prediction

NBA · Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · Mortgage Matchup Center · NBA TV

Result

Final: Golden State Warriors 122, Phoenix Suns 131 (Phoenix Suns won). Mel’s pick (Phoenix Suns win 59% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Phoenix Suns win 59% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Golden State Warriors 111, Phoenix Suns 107. 6% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Phoenix Suns −9.5. Mel projects Golden State Warriors by 4.2, so the simulation leans Golden State Warriors +9.5 against the spread.

The total is 218.5; Mel’s projected 218.2 is right around it.

Recent form

Golden State Warriors (0-2) scored 110.6 and allowed 110.2 points a game over their last 5.

Phoenix Suns (0-1) scored 104.2 and allowed 117.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 9:22 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.