Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns prediction
NBA · Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · Mortgage Matchup Center · NBA TV
Result
Final: Golden State Warriors 122, Phoenix Suns 131 (Phoenix Suns won). Mel’s pick (Phoenix Suns win 59% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right.
Mel’s pick
Phoenix Suns win 59% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.
- Golden State Warriors: 41%
- Phoenix Suns: 59%
Projected score
Golden State Warriors 111, Phoenix Suns 107. 6% of the simulations finished as one-score games.
Mel vs the betting line
Vegas has Phoenix Suns −9.5. Mel projects Golden State Warriors by 4.2, so the simulation leans Golden State Warriors +9.5 against the spread.
The total is 218.5; Mel’s projected 218.2 is right around it.
Recent form
Golden State Warriors (0-2) scored 110.6 and allowed 110.2 points a game over their last 5.
Phoenix Suns (0-1) scored 104.2 and allowed 117.6 points a game over their last 5.
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 9:22 AM ET.
See the full simulation
Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.