Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets prediction

Result

Final: Miami Heat 110, Charlotte Hornets 115 (Charlotte Hornets won). Mel’s pick (Charlotte Hornets win 52% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Charlotte Hornets win 52% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Miami Heat: 48%
• Charlotte Hornets: 52%

Projected score

Miami Heat 121, Charlotte Hornets 106. 5% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Miami Heat −3.5. Mel projects Miami Heat by 15.7, so the simulation leans Miami Heat -3.5 against the spread.

The total is 229.5; Mel projects 227 points, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Miami Heat (0-2) scored 120 and allowed 129.6 points a game over their last 5.

Charlotte Hornets (1-1) scored 97.4 and allowed 110.2 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 9:22 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.