New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets prediction

Result

Final: New Orleans Pelicans 135, Denver Nuggets 141 (Denver Nuggets won). Mel’s pick (Denver Nuggets win 58% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Denver Nuggets win 58% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• New Orleans Pelicans: 42%
• Denver Nuggets: 58%

Projected score

New Orleans Pelicans 117, Denver Nuggets 116. 6% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Denver Nuggets −11.5. Mel projects New Orleans Pelicans by 1.2, so the simulation leans New Orleans Pelicans +11.5 against the spread.

The total is 237.5; Mel projects 233 points, a lean to the under.

Recent form

New Orleans Pelicans (0-2) scored 113 and allowed 114.8 points a game over their last 5.

Denver Nuggets (0-1) scored 113 and allowed 111.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 9:22 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.