San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks prediction

Result

Final: San Antonio Spurs 122, Dallas Mavericks 106 (San Antonio Spurs won). Mel’s pick (San Antonio Spurs win 76% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

San Antonio Spurs win 76% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• San Antonio Spurs: 76%
• Dallas Mavericks: 24%

Projected score

San Antonio Spurs 125, Dallas Mavericks 104. 4% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has San Antonio Spurs −12.5. Mel projects San Antonio Spurs by 20.9, so the simulation leans San Antonio Spurs -12.5 against the spread.

The total is 229.5; Mel’s projected 228.6 is right around it.

Recent form

San Antonio Spurs (0-2) scored 114.4 and allowed 109.8 points a game over their last 5.

Dallas Mavericks (1-1) scored 114.2 and allowed 116.8 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 9:22 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.