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Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings prediction

NBA · Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 9:00 PM ET · Golden 1 Center · NBA League Pass

Result

Final: Memphis Grizzlies 123, Sacramento Kings 112 (Memphis Grizzlies won). Mel’s pick (Memphis Grizzlies win 63% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Memphis Grizzlies win 63% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Memphis Grizzlies 124, Sacramento Kings 118. 8% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Memphis Grizzlies −4.5. Mel projects Memphis Grizzlies by 5.8, so the simulation leans Memphis Grizzlies -4.5 against the spread.

The total is 236.5; Mel projects 242.4 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Memphis Grizzlies (2-0) scored 114.4 and allowed 106.2 points a game over their last 5.

Sacramento Kings (0-2) scored 103.4 and allowed 119.2 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 25, 9:13 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

Open in Mel’s Playbook Try the free demo game

Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.