Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets prediction

Result

Final: Golden State Warriors 134, Denver Nuggets 114 (Golden State Warriors won). Mel’s pick (Denver Nuggets win 53% of the time) was wrong. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Denver Nuggets win 53% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Golden State Warriors: 47%
• Denver Nuggets: 53%

Projected score

Golden State Warriors 114, Denver Nuggets 117. 6% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Denver Nuggets −7.5. Mel projects Denver Nuggets by 3.4, so the simulation leans Golden State Warriors +7.5 against the spread.

The total is 236.5; Mel projects 230.6 points, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Golden State Warriors (0-3) scored 112.8 and allowed 115.2 points a game over their last 5.

Denver Nuggets (1-1) scored 117.8 and allowed 117.4 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 26, 9:13 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

Open in Mel’s Playbook Try the free demo game

Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.