Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction

Result

Final: Phoenix Suns 114, Oklahoma City Thunder 125 (Oklahoma City Thunder won). Mel’s pick (Oklahoma City Thunder win 73% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Oklahoma City Thunder win 73% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Phoenix Suns: 27%
• Oklahoma City Thunder: 73%

Projected score

Phoenix Suns 104, Oklahoma City Thunder 110. 5% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Oklahoma City Thunder −10.5. Mel projects Oklahoma City Thunder by 6.6, so the simulation leans Phoenix Suns +10.5 against the spread.

The total is 219.5; Mel projects 213.9 points, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Phoenix Suns (1-1) scored 107 and allowed 117.2 points a game over their last 5.

Oklahoma City Thunder (3-0) scored 104.6 and allowed 103.4 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 26, 9:13 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.