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Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction

NBA · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Target Center · NBA League Pass

Result

Final: Golden State Warriors 119, Minnesota Timberwolves 114 (Golden State Warriors won). Mel’s pick (Golden State Warriors win 54% of the time) was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Golden State Warriors win 54% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Golden State Warriors 115, Minnesota Timberwolves 118. 6% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Golden State Warriors by about 4.2) is close to the line (Minnesota Timberwolves −3.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 228.5; Mel projects 232.8 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Golden State Warriors (1-3) scored 119.4 and allowed 120.2 points a game over their last 5.

Minnesota Timberwolves (3-1) scored 120.8 and allowed 110.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 28, 9:11 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.