Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction
NBA · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Fiserv Forum · NBA League Pass
Result
Final: Houston Rockets 132, Milwaukee Bucks 100 (Houston Rockets won). Mel’s pick (Houston Rockets win 58% of the time) was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.
Mel’s pick
Houston Rockets win 58% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.
- Houston Rockets: 58%
- Milwaukee Bucks: 42%
Projected score
Houston Rockets 120, Milwaukee Bucks 111. 7% of the simulations finished as one-score games.
Mel vs the betting line
Mel’s margin (Houston Rockets by about 8.4) is close to the line (Houston Rockets −8.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.
The total is 225.5; Mel projects 231.1 points, a lean to the over.
Recent form
Houston Rockets (4-0) scored 119.8 and allowed 106.6 points a game over their last 5.
Milwaukee Bucks (1-3) scored 119 and allowed 123.2 points a game over their last 5.
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 28, 9:11 AM ET.
See the full simulation
Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.