San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz prediction
NBA · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 9:00 PM ET · Delta Center · NBA League Pass
Result
Final: San Antonio Spurs 117, Utah Jazz 111 (San Antonio Spurs won). Mel’s pick (San Antonio Spurs win 76% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.
Mel’s pick
San Antonio Spurs win 76% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.
- San Antonio Spurs: 76%
- Utah Jazz: 24%
Projected score
San Antonio Spurs 123, Utah Jazz 112. 6% of the simulations finished as one-score games.
Mel vs the betting line
Vegas has San Antonio Spurs −13.5. Mel projects San Antonio Spurs by 12.3, so the simulation leans Utah Jazz +13.5 against the spread.
The total is 233.5; Mel projects 235.3 points, a lean to the over.
Recent form
San Antonio Spurs (2-2) scored 118.4 and allowed 107.2 points a game over their last 5.
Utah Jazz (1-3) scored 114 and allowed 120 points a game over their last 5.
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 28, 9:11 AM ET.
See the full simulation
Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.