Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns prediction

Result

Final: Denver Nuggets 127, Phoenix Suns 120 (Denver Nuggets won). Mel’s pick (Denver Nuggets win 59% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Denver Nuggets win 59% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Denver Nuggets: 59%
• Phoenix Suns: 41%

Projected score

Denver Nuggets 116, Phoenix Suns 109. 6% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Denver Nuggets −4.5. Mel projects Denver Nuggets by 6.4, so the simulation leans Denver Nuggets -4.5 against the spread.

The total is 231.5; Mel projects 224.5 points, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Denver Nuggets (2-2) scored 112.8 and allowed 112.4 points a game over their last 5.

Phoenix Suns (1-2) scored 109.4 and allowed 122.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 30, 9:11 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.