Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks prediction

Result

Final: Houston Rockets 111, Dallas Mavericks 116 (Dallas Mavericks won). Mel’s pick (Houston Rockets win 62% of the time) was wrong. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Houston Rockets win 62% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Houston Rockets: 62%
• Dallas Mavericks: 38%

Projected score

Houston Rockets 115, Dallas Mavericks 107. 7% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Houston Rockets −6.5. Mel projects Houston Rockets by 8.3, so the simulation leans Houston Rockets -6.5 against the spread.

The total is 225.5; Mel projects 222 points, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Houston Rockets (5-0) scored 123 and allowed 108.8 points a game over their last 5.

Dallas Mavericks (3-2) scored 114 and allowed 112 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 30, 9:11 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.