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Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction

NBA · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Smoothie King Center · NBA League Pass

Result

Final: Atlanta Hawks 99, New Orleans Pelicans 121 (New Orleans Pelicans won). Mel’s pick (Atlanta Hawks win 53% of the time) was wrong. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Atlanta Hawks win 53% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Atlanta Hawks 118, New Orleans Pelicans 119. 7% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Atlanta Hawks −4.5. Mel projects New Orleans Pelicans by 1.6, so the simulation leans New Orleans Pelicans +4.5 against the spread.

The total is 240.5; Mel projects 236.7 points, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Atlanta Hawks (3-3) scored 116.6 and allowed 112.4 points a game over their last 5.

New Orleans Pelicans (1-4) scored 119.4 and allowed 121.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 31, 9:12 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

Open in Mel’s Playbook Try the free demo game

Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.