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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction

NBA · Monday, November 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Rocket Arena · NBCSN

Mel’s pick

Cleveland Cavaliers win 62% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game.

Projected score

Oklahoma City Thunder 116, Cleveland Cavaliers 119. 6% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Cleveland Cavaliers −4.5. Mel projects Cleveland Cavaliers by 6, so the simulation leans Cleveland Cavaliers -4.5 against the spread.

The total is 228.5; Mel projects 225.2 points, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Oklahoma City Thunder (4-2) scored 104.6 and allowed 107.6 points a game over their last 5.

Cleveland Cavaliers (4-2) scored 124 and allowed 116.4 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Nov 2, 8:14 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.