Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets prediction

Mel’s pick

Denver Nuggets win 61% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game.

• Portland Trail Blazers: 39%
• Denver Nuggets: 61%

Projected score

Portland Trail Blazers 116, Denver Nuggets 119. 6% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Denver Nuggets by about 4.7) is close to the line (Denver Nuggets −4.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 231.5; Mel projects 226.8 points, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Portland Trail Blazers (4-1) scored 120.6 and allowed 109.2 points a game over their last 5.

Denver Nuggets (3-2) scored 114 and allowed 115.2 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Nov 2, 8:14 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.