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Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks prediction

NBA · Monday, November 2, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · American Airlines Center · NBA League Pass

Mel’s pick

Dallas Mavericks win 77% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game.

Projected score

Sacramento Kings 108, Dallas Mavericks 121. 4% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Dallas Mavericks −10.5. Mel projects Dallas Mavericks by 12.4, so the simulation leans Dallas Mavericks -10.5 against the spread.

The total is 232.5; Mel projects 229.1 points, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Sacramento Kings (0-6) scored 112 and allowed 129.8 points a game over their last 5.

Dallas Mavericks (4-2) scored 115.2 and allowed 108.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Nov 2, 8:14 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.