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Monmouth Hawks vs St. John's Red Storm prediction

Men’s college basketball · Monday, November 2, 2026 · 6:30 PM ET · Carnesecca Arena · ESPN+

Mel’s pick

St. John's Red Storm win 91% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game.

Projected score

Monmouth Hawks 63, St. John's Red Storm 89. 5% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has St. John's Red Storm −27.5. Mel projects St. John's Red Storm by 26.3, so the simulation leans Monmouth Hawks +27.5 against the spread.

The total is 153.5; Mel projects 151.9 points, a lean to the under.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Nov 2, 8:14 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.