Sam Houston Bearkats vs Alabama Crimson Tide prediction

Mel’s pick

Alabama Crimson Tide win 89% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game.

• Sam Houston Bearkats: 11%
• Alabama Crimson Tide: 89%

Projected score

Sam Houston Bearkats 71, Alabama Crimson Tide 97. 6% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Alabama Crimson Tide by about 26.6) is close to the line (Alabama Crimson Tide −26.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 171.5; Mel projects 168.3 points, a lean to the under.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Nov 3, 8:13 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.