Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers prediction
NFL · Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET · Lambeau Field · NBC
Result
Final: Dallas Cowboys 13, Green Bay Packers 23 (Green Bay Packers won). Mel’s pick (Green Bay Packers win 53% of the time) was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.
Mel’s pick
Green Bay Packers win 53% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.
- Dallas Cowboys: 47%
- Green Bay Packers: 53%
Projected score
Dallas Cowboys 28, Green Bay Packers 28. 23% of the simulations finished as one-score games.
Mel vs the betting line
Mel’s margin (Green Bay Packers by about 0.7) is close to the line (Green Bay Packers −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.
The total is 53.5; Mel projects 56 points, a lean to the over.
Recent form
Dallas Cowboys (2-3) scored 27.6 and allowed 27.2 points a game over their last 5.
Green Bay Packers (3-2) scored 20.8 and allowed 22.4 points a game over their last 5.
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Oct 18, 6:40 PM ET.
See the full simulation
Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.
Open in Mel’s Playbook Try the free demo game
Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.