Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers prediction

Result

Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 26, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19 (Pittsburgh Steelers won). Mel’s pick (Pittsburgh Steelers win 62% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Pittsburgh Steelers win 62% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Pittsburgh Steelers: 62%
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 38%

Projected score

Pittsburgh Steelers 22, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 18. 20% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Pittsburgh Steelers −2.5. Mel projects Pittsburgh Steelers by 3.7, so the simulation leans Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5 against the spread.

The total is 38.5; Mel’s projected 39.8 is right around it.

Recent form

Pittsburgh Steelers (3-2) scored 22.2 and allowed 21.8 points a game over their last 5.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-4) scored 20 and allowed 22.4 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Oct 18, 11:20 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.