Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions prediction

Result

Final: Green Bay Packers 17, Detroit Lions 20 (Detroit Lions won). Mel’s pick (Detroit Lions win 58% of the time) was right.

Mel’s pick

Detroit Lions win 58% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Green Bay Packers: 42%
• Detroit Lions: 58%

Projected score

Green Bay Packers 27, Detroit Lions 30. 20% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Detroit Lions by about 2.5) is close to the line (Detroit Lions −3.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 55.5; Mel’s projected 56.6 is right around it.

Recent form

Green Bay Packers (4-2) scored 21 and allowed 17.2 points a game over their last 5.

Detroit Lions (3-2) scored 32.8 and allowed 29.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 25, 2:48 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.