Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets prediction

Result

Final: Miami Dolphins 28, New York Jets 25 (Miami Dolphins won). Mel’s pick (New York Jets win 65% of the time) was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

New York Jets win 65% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Miami Dolphins: 35%
• New York Jets: 65%

Projected score

Miami Dolphins 16, New York Jets 21. 19% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (New York Jets by about 4.8) is close to the line (New York Jets −4.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 39.5; Mel projects 37.2 points, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Miami Dolphins (0-5) scored 14 and allowed 26.4 points a game over their last 5.

New York Jets (2-4) scored 17.8 and allowed 22.4 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Oct 25, 11:28 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

Open in Mel’s Playbook Try the free demo game

Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.