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New York Giants vs Houston Texans prediction

NFL · Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Reliant Stadium · Fox

Result

Final: New York Giants 27, Houston Texans 21 (New York Giants won). Mel’s pick (Houston Texans win 69% of the time) was wrong. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Houston Texans win 69% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

New York Giants 18, Houston Texans 24. 16% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Houston Texans −10.5. Mel projects Houston Texans by 7.2, so the simulation leans New York Giants +10.5 against the spread.

The total is 42.5; Mel’s projected 41.7 is right around it.

Recent form

New York Giants (3-2-1) scored 21.6 and allowed 24 points a game over their last 5.

Houston Texans (2-4) scored 22.6 and allowed 21.4 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 25, 11:28 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.