Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles prediction
NFL · Monday, October 26, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET · Lincoln Financial Field · ESPN
Result
Final: Dallas Cowboys 38, Philadelphia Eagles 21 (Dallas Cowboys won). Mel’s pick (Dallas Cowboys win 62% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right.
Mel’s pick
Dallas Cowboys win 62% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.
- Dallas Cowboys: 62%
- Philadelphia Eagles: 38%
Projected score
Dallas Cowboys 25, Philadelphia Eagles 18. 19% of the simulations finished as one-score games.
Mel vs the betting line
Vegas has Dallas Cowboys −4.5. Mel projects Dallas Cowboys by 6.2, so the simulation leans Dallas Cowboys -4.5 against the spread.
The total is 43.5; Mel’s projected 42.8 is right around it.
Recent form
Dallas Cowboys (2-4) scored 26.2 and allowed 26.2 points a game over their last 5.
Philadelphia Eagles (2-4) scored 16.4 and allowed 23 points a game over their last 5.
Who’s out
- Philadelphia Eagles: DeVonta Smith (WR) – Out
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Oct 26, 6:38 PM ET.
See the full simulation
Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.