Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers prediction
NFL · Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium · Fox
Mel’s pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers win 54% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game.
- Atlanta Falcons: 46%
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 54%
Projected score
Atlanta Falcons 26, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27. 22% of the simulations finished as one-score games.
Mel vs the betting line
Vegas has Tampa Bay Buccaneers −2.5. Mel projects Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 0.5, so the simulation leans Atlanta Falcons +2.5 against the spread.
The total is 43.5; Mel projects 51.6 points, a lean to the over.
Recent form
Atlanta Falcons (3-4) scored 31 and allowed 23.8 points a game over their last 5.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-5) scored 23.2 and allowed 19 points a game over their last 5.
Who’s out
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Emeka Egbuka (WR) – Out
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Nov 1, 11:25 AM ET.
See the full simulation
Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.