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Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills prediction

NFL · Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Highmark Stadium · CBS

Mel’s pick

Buffalo Bills win 56% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game.

Projected score

Baltimore Ravens 29, Buffalo Bills 30. 20% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Buffalo Bills −3. Mel projects Buffalo Bills by 1.2, so the simulation leans Baltimore Ravens +3 against the spread.

The total is 54.5; Mel projects 59.6 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Baltimore Ravens (4-3) scored 22.2 and allowed 24 points a game over their last 5.

Buffalo Bills (5-1) scored 32.2 and allowed 28 points a game over their last 5.

Who’s out

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Nov 1, 11:25 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.