Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets prediction

Mel’s pick

New York Jets win 53% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game.

• Las Vegas Raiders: 47%
• New York Jets: 53%

Projected score

Las Vegas Raiders 27, New York Jets 28. 22% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has New York Jets −1.5. Mel projects Las Vegas Raiders by 0.1, so the simulation leans Las Vegas Raiders +1.5 against the spread.

The total is 46.5; Mel projects 54.1 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Las Vegas Raiders (3-4) scored 26 and allowed 34 points a game over their last 5.

New York Jets (2-5) scored 19.4 and allowed 24 points a game over their last 5.

Who’s out

• New York Jets: David Bailey (LDE) – Doubtful

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Nov 1, 11:25 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.