Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions prediction

Mel’s pick

Detroit Lions win 53% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game.

• Minnesota Vikings: 47%
• Detroit Lions: 53%

Projected score

Minnesota Vikings 24, Detroit Lions 25. 22% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Detroit Lions −3. Mel projects Minnesota Vikings by 0.5, so the simulation leans Minnesota Vikings +3 against the spread.

The total is 46.5; Mel’s projected 47.3 is right around it.

Recent form

Minnesota Vikings (6-0) scored 17.2 and allowed 10.4 points a game over their last 5.

Detroit Lions (4-2) scored 30.6 and allowed 27 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Nov 1, 11:25 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.