San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction

Result

Final: San Jose Sharks 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (Toronto Maple Leafs won). Mel’s pick (Toronto Maple Leafs win 56% of the time) was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Toronto Maple Leafs win 56% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• San Jose Sharks: 44%
• Toronto Maple Leafs: 56%

Projected score

San Jose Sharks 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Toronto Maple Leafs by about 1.6) is close to the line (Toronto Maple Leafs −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 6.5; Mel projects 5.7 goals, a lean to the under.

Recent form

San Jose Sharks (4-3-1) scored 2.6 and allowed 3.4 goals a game over their last 5.

Toronto Maple Leafs (3-4-2) scored 3.6 and allowed 4.2 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 19, 9:02 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

Open in Mel’s Playbook Try the free demo game

Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.