Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction

Result

Final: Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Vegas Golden Knights 2 (Tampa Bay Lightning won). Mel’s pick (Vegas Golden Knights win 51% of the time) was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Vegas Golden Knights win 51% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Tampa Bay Lightning: 49%
• Vegas Golden Knights: 51%

Projected score

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Vegas Golden Knights 4.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Vegas Golden Knights by about 2.2) is close to the line (Vegas Golden Knights −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 6.5; Mel projects 6.8 goals, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Tampa Bay Lightning (6-2-0) scored 3.4 and allowed 2.8 goals a game over their last 5.

Vegas Golden Knights (8-2-0) scored 4.2 and allowed 2.2 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 20, 9:12 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.