New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction
NHL · Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Scotiabank Arena · ESPN+
Result
Final: New York Rangers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (Toronto Maple Leafs won). Mel’s pick (New York Rangers win 50% of the time) was wrong.
Mel’s pick
New York Rangers win 50% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.
- New York Rangers: 50%
- Toronto Maple Leafs: 50%
Projected score
New York Rangers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3.
Mel vs the betting line
Mel’s margin (New York Rangers by about 0.8) is close to the line (New York Rangers −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.
The total is 6.5; Mel’s projected 6.7 is right around it.
Recent form
New York Rangers (7-3-1) scored 3.2 and allowed 2.6 goals a game over their last 5.
Toronto Maple Leafs (5-4-2) scored 3.6 and allowed 3.4 goals a game over their last 5.
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 22, 9:11 AM ET.
See the full simulation
Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.