Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche prediction

Result

Final: Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Colorado Avalanche 6 (Colorado Avalanche won). Mel’s pick (Colorado Avalanche win 53% of the time) was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Colorado Avalanche win 53% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Tampa Bay Lightning: 47%
• Colorado Avalanche: 53%

Projected score

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Colorado Avalanche 4.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Colorado Avalanche by about 1.1) is close to the line (Colorado Avalanche −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 6.5; Mel projects 7.7 goals, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Tampa Bay Lightning (7-2-0) scored 4 and allowed 2.8 goals a game over their last 5.

Colorado Avalanche (5-4-1) scored 3 and allowed 2.8 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 23, 9:11 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.