Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals prediction

Result

Final: Buffalo Sabres 3, Washington Capitals 4 (Washington Capitals won). Mel’s pick (Washington Capitals win 53% of the time) was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Washington Capitals win 53% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Buffalo Sabres: 47%
• Washington Capitals: 53%

Projected score

Buffalo Sabres 3, Washington Capitals 4.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Washington Capitals by about 1.3) is close to the line (Washington Capitals −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 6.5; Mel projects 6.8 goals, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Buffalo Sabres (4-4-2) scored 3.4 and allowed 3.6 goals a game over their last 5.

Washington Capitals (5-4-0) scored 3.2 and allowed 4 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 9:22 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

Open in Mel’s Playbook Try the free demo game

Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.