Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth prediction

Result

Final: Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Utah Mammoth 5 (Utah Mammoth won). Mel’s pick (Utah Mammoth win 56% of the time) was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Utah Mammoth win 56% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Tampa Bay Lightning: 44%
• Utah Mammoth: 56%

Projected score

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Utah Mammoth 4.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Utah Mammoth by about 1.4) is close to the line (Utah Mammoth −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 6.5; Mel projects 7.6 goals, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Tampa Bay Lightning (7-3-0) scored 3.6 and allowed 3.4 goals a game over their last 5.

Utah Mammoth (7-4-0) scored 3.8 and allowed 4.2 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 9:22 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.