Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers prediction

Result

Final: Toronto Maple Leafs 7, Edmonton Oilers 2 (Toronto Maple Leafs won). Mel’s pick (Edmonton Oilers win 62% of the time) was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Edmonton Oilers win 62% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Toronto Maple Leafs: 38%
• Edmonton Oilers: 62%

Projected score

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Edmonton Oilers 5.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Edmonton Oilers by about 1.8) is close to the line (Edmonton Oilers −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 6.5; Mel projects 7.6 goals, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Toronto Maple Leafs (6-4-2) scored 3.8 and allowed 3.2 goals a game over their last 5.

Edmonton Oilers (8-1-1) scored 4.4 and allowed 3 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 9:22 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.