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New York Islanders vs Dallas Stars prediction

NHL · Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 6:00 PM ET · American Airlines Center · ESPN+

Result

Final: New York Islanders 3, Dallas Stars 6 (Dallas Stars won). Mel’s pick (Dallas Stars win 64% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Dallas Stars win 64% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

New York Islanders 3, Dallas Stars 3.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Dallas Stars −1.5. Mel projects Dallas Stars by 0.4, so the simulation leans New York Islanders +1.5 against the spread.

The total is 5.5; Mel’s projected 5.6 is right around it.

Recent form

New York Islanders (5-3-2) scored 2.6 and allowed 2 goals a game over their last 5.

Dallas Stars (6-3-1) scored 3 and allowed 1.8 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 25, 9:13 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.