Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames prediction

Result

Final: Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Calgary Flames 5 (Calgary Flames won). Mel’s pick (Toronto Maple Leafs win 59% of the time) was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Toronto Maple Leafs win 59% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Toronto Maple Leafs: 59%
• Calgary Flames: 41%

Projected score

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Calgary Flames 2.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Toronto Maple Leafs by about 1.9) is close to the line (Toronto Maple Leafs −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 6.5; Mel’s projected 6.5 is right around it.

Recent form

Toronto Maple Leafs (7-4-2) scored 4.4 and allowed 2.6 goals a game over their last 5.

Calgary Flames (4-6-0) scored 3 and allowed 2.4 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 26, 9:13 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.