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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken prediction

NHL · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · Climate Pledge Arena · ESPN+

Result

Final: Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Seattle Kraken 5 (Seattle Kraken won). Mel’s pick (Toronto Maple Leafs win 52% of the time) was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Toronto Maple Leafs win 52% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Seattle Kraken 3.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Toronto Maple Leafs by about 1.3) is close to the line (Toronto Maple Leafs −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 6.5; Mel’s projected 6.7 is right around it.

Recent form

Toronto Maple Leafs (7-5-2) scored 4.6 and allowed 2.8 goals a game over their last 5.

Seattle Kraken (7-4-1) scored 3.2 and allowed 4.6 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 28, 9:11 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

Open in Mel’s Playbook Try the free demo game

Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.