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Montreal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars prediction

NHL · Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · American Airlines Center · ESPN+

Result

Final: Montreal Canadiens 5, Dallas Stars 2 (Montreal Canadiens won). Mel’s pick (Dallas Stars win 59% of the time) was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Dallas Stars win 59% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Montreal Canadiens 3, Dallas Stars 3.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Dallas Stars by about 0.6) is close to the line (Dallas Stars −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 6.5; Mel projects 6.2 goals, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Montreal Canadiens (7-3-2) scored 3 and allowed 1.8 goals a game over their last 5.

Dallas Stars (7-4-1) scored 3.4 and allowed 2.4 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 29, 9:11 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.