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Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals prediction

NHL · Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Capital One Arena · ESPN+

Mel’s pick

Washington Capitals win 53% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game.

Projected score

Dallas Stars 3, Washington Capitals 4.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Dallas Stars −1.5. Mel projects Washington Capitals by 0.1, so the simulation leans Washington Capitals +1.5 against the spread.

The total is 5.5; Mel’s projected 5.3 is right around it.

Recent form

Dallas Stars (8-5-1) scored 3 and allowed 3.2 goals a game over their last 5.

Washington Capitals (8-5-0) scored 3.2 and allowed 3.6 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Nov 3, 8:13 AM ET.

See the full simulation

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.