Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction

Mel’s pick

Tampa Bay Lightning win 56% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game.

• Detroit Red Wings: 44%
• Tampa Bay Lightning: 56%

Projected score

Detroit Red Wings 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Tampa Bay Lightning −1.5. Mel projects Tampa Bay Lightning by 0.3, so the simulation leans Detroit Red Wings +1.5 against the spread.

The total is 6.5; Mel projects 6 goals, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Detroit Red Wings (7-5-3) scored 3.6 and allowed 3.2 goals a game over their last 5.

Tampa Bay Lightning (8-3-2) scored 4.6 and allowed 4.4 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Nov 3, 8:13 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.